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Mr Projected Sea Level Rise Skeptic, that glass of water and ice cube meme is BULL*** (Page 1/9) |
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rinselberg
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NOV 17, 03:47 PM
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I'm taking a bit of liberty here. I am using "sea level rise skeptic" as a stand-in for another forum member, because this isn't just about that other forum member. The identity of that other forum member could be discovered by scrolling through another of the current or very recent "rinselberg" topics, but I think there are some (if not many) who would be reluctant to do that, partly because it is another "rinselberg" topic, and partly because of how that other topic has been titularized. This is my bid to find a (slightly) larger readership. Larger than zero. So now, without further ado, here is the crux of the matter. All that follows.
Are you a "sea level rise skeptic"?
If you think that there's a simple experiment, like this meme, that anyone could set up in their kitchen, using only a glass of water and an ice cube (and maybe some food dye and a paper towel), to "diss" the rising sea level projections from climate scientists—then this is for you.
quote | Originally posted by "sea level rise skeptic": Try this. Put an ice cube in a glass. Put it on a paper towel. Fill it up with water. Add some dye to it. Come back when the ice has melted and see if it has over flowed the glass. Tell us how that worked for you. |
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This is the same misconception that I talked about a number of weeks ago, when I responded to a very similar meme that someone else had posted.
What that would demonstrate, with the ice cube in a glass and filling the glass up with water (etc.) is that the total amount of sea water on the planet does not change because of sea ice—the ice that forms when it's so cold that the surface of the ocean freezes and covers offshore areas in the Arctic and Antarctic regions. These are the offshore ice packs and ice shelves. This is what ice-breaking ships have to deal with. When sea ice forms, it doesn't cause a negative contribution to sea levels. When sea ice melts it doesn't cause a positive contribution to sea levels. It doesn't affect sea levels.
Climate scientists are focused not on sea ice, but on land ice. That's the ice that covers areas of land. The glaciers in mountain regions all around the world, and the ice packs that have formed on land—conspicuously, the great ice packs that cover the continent of Antarctica and the large island of Greenland in the Arctic. These glaciers and land ice are seen by observations to be melting away at what many climate scientists say is an alarming pace. And when land ice melts and the melt water finds its way into the oceans, which is mostly what happens, that becomes a rise in sea levels all around the world.
I just said "alarming pace". It's an unnaturally rapid transition that most climate scientists believe is being mostly caused by us (humans) through everything we do that results in a net increase of planet-warming greenhouse gases in the atmosphere—conspicuously, carbon dioxide and methane—but there are some other greenhouse gases of concern, caused by people.
To model the melting of land ice, you should fill a glass with water all the way to its brim to represent sea water and then pour more water on top of that, to represent melt water from glaciers and ice packs on land. Or you could use an ice cube to represent land ice that is still frozen but goes into the sea as a glacier melts from below and flows downhill to the coastline—the "calving" of a new iceberg. Put an ice cube into the glass that's already filled to the brim with "seawater".
Either way, some of the water in the glass is going to be displaced and overtop the brim of the glass and flow downwards along the outer surface of the glass and collect on the surface of the table that supports the glass.
That's what happens when glaciers and land ice are thawed by warming temperatures and become melt water, or float out to sea, still frozen, as brand new icebergs—a rise in sea levels.
There's a second component to rising sea levels in a warming world, and that's the thermal expansion of seawater as its temperature goes up, but I've already said enough to explain that this "ice cube in a glass of water" experiment, as originally set up here by "sea level rise skeptic", does not contradict anything that climate scientists are saying when they talk about rising sea levels.
Yo "sea level rise skeptic"... Say My Name![This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 11-18-2022).]
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MidEngineManiac
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NOV 17, 06:02 PM
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Actually, I am more worried about those frozen dinosaur farts in the tundra...
What the hell were they eating ? Roast beef and baked beans ?
Ya KNOW what THAT is going to smell like after 200 million years ?
Like holey hell, next morning is bad enough but 200m years of scent percolation ?
Maybe that rising water will help diffuse it or something.
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Cheeper2keeper
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NOV 17, 08:37 PM
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You have absolutely no control of yourself.
"I'm taking a bit of liberty here. I am using "sea level rise skeptic" as a stand-in for another forum member, because this isn't just about that other forum member. The identity of that other forum member could be discovered by scrolling through another of the current or very recent "rinselberg" topics, but I think there are some (if not many) who would be reluctant to do that, partly because it is another "rinselberg" topic, and partly because of how that other topic has been titularized. This is my bid to find a (slightly) larger readership."
[This message has been edited by Cheeper2keeper (edited 11-17-2022).]
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rinselberg
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NOV 18, 12:39 AM
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quote | Originally posted by Cheeper2keeper: |
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Why does this Cheeper2keeper keep coming to this Politics & Religion section of the forum? He seems to have nothing on his mind when he comes here, except for his stupid fixation on me. It's not symmetrical. I have zero interest in him, and zero interest in anything he has to say about me. I scrolled down just far enough to read the first line of the message he posted (immediately before this message) and I stopped right there. I don't know what came after that. I don't want to know. I expect to keep it that way.
Did he say anything about the original topic of this thread? Did he say anything about the melting of land ice or sea ice and how that contributes (or does not contribute) to the predictions of higher sea levels around the world from the latest climate science research? Did he say anything about how to make sense of the Glass of Water and an Ice Cube genre of science experiments, from a climate science perspective?
If he talked about any of that, and if he stopped talking like some self-appointed, phoney-baloney, psychiatrist wannabe, looking for someone to practice on... then I might read him.
In just 67 seconds, this video explains the Glass of Water and Ice Cube experiment. It reiterates what I said. Actually, I reiterated what the video says. Or maybe I only just iterated...
This video is what it means when it's explained by someone who actually understands the science of it, in conspicuous contrast to the crowd that traffics in ill-conceived memes like this one (again):
| CLICK FOR FULL SIZE |
It's one thing for people to just remain skeptical about the projections and the urgencies of global "de-carbonizing" that many climate scientists are aligned with.
It's another thing altogether when people traffic in explanations and "experiments" like this meme to justify their skepticism, but the explanations that they are coming up with "do not compute." And then this same crowd cackles on social media about how much smarter they are than the "anti-science leftists."
I've really "got it in" for this meme! I'm calling it a "meme". That's close enough, isn't it?[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 11-18-2022).]
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82-T/A [At Work]
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NOV 18, 08:58 AM
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quote | Originally posted by rinselberg: Mr Projected Sea Level Rise Skeptic, that glass of water and ice cube meme is BULL***
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I'm pretty sure it's a joke. Everyone learns in school that glacial ice is extremely dense, with the vast majority of the air bubbles (minus the actual composition of the molecular compound H2O) are squeezed out because of the immense pressure of the ice. There's obviously still some air bubbles in there, but when it melts, it's not like melting ice cubes in a glass. Most people know this, and it's not a serious discussion point. The meme is a joke.
On the issue of sea levels rising... there's a LOT of nonsense out there. For one, there seems to be a total mis-calculation about how much, or how little the sea is rising everywhere. States from the North East (into Canada) all the way to South Florida, have measured different levels of "sea level rise." While based on the Earth's geography, and the fact that it's a spinning ball and... how a spinning ball sends everything to the outer extremities of the rotation, "rise" should be greater in places like Miami than everywhere else (or more specifically, at the equator). But that's not the case, some states like NY claim there is more sea level rise than there is in Miami, while other places state that they've seen an decrease in sea level. Then there's the problem of "HOW" sea level is calculated. There are several ways, but the one most commonly cited is NASA's use of satellites to measure (via radio waves) the bounce of signal off the ocean every 10 to 15 days (depending on measurement criteria). The problem with this is that it largely doesn't account for changing weather patterns... e.g., going in and out of El Nino or La Nina, as well as a more active versus less active hurricane season, in which case you might have storm surge during the point in time at which it's measured, which then totally disrupts the average if it measures at the same time a hurricane is hitting the east coast of Florida. These satellites are also in a constant state of gravitational decay over time, nor is the a-synchronous orbit. The math isn't perfect, and this only adds to what becomes a slightly exponential inaccuracy.
The best method (IMHO) is using a stake which is laser-leveled and geo-coordinated to determine elevation to sea level, and measure over the years the rise and / or fall of the sea level. There's one of these in Key West, and I can't remember (just tried to search for it and couldn't find anything). When I worked down there for several weeks at the Naval Air Station, they were telling me about it. There are some years that it literally shows a decrease in sea level rise. That said, they do indicate some sea level rise, but it's so insignificant as to basically discount nearly every drama news article out there that says everything will be underwater.
Furthermore, a lot of the drama comes from people saying the sea level is rising, when in effect, the elevation of the ground is actually decreasing. For example, because of erosion at the beach, and the slow degradation of the water table underneath many of these areas, the land has actually dropped a foot or two in some places, which becomes almost unnoticeable, even on pavement... with concrete structures sometimes sinking further. Note... this kind of stuff also happens in places like Texas, where in some cases, structures will actually rise up slightly, while everything else around it slides down due to the freezing and thawing of the soil during the winter and summer months.
There's so much corruption with this too. But there are some benefits as well. The city of Miami knows that they screwed up back in the day when the city was run by Democrats in the 60s, 70s, and 80s. Many of the building permits were allowed to be built in areas that were already prone to flooding and should never have been built on. Moving forward, the city can get grants and even "free" money from the Federal government to do everything from hiring dozens of geotechnical engineers, a bunch of administrators, and funding for public works projects in the name of rising ocean levels. This has also led to stricter building standards, requiring structures to be built on higher elevation (Miami's 2040 plan), as well as increased code requirements for building on rubble / fill. You now have to wait years for land to settle before you are allowed to build on it. Along with the Republican's efforts to protect the Everglades and prevent encroachment, and the new building standards, there's no more room to build in urban areas of Fort Lauderdale and Miami. So two things happen, they have to expand south to Homestead, or north to Pompano Beach, or they start redeveloping the ghettos... places like Liberty City, Hialeah, etc...
So, there's good and bad... but bottom line... 80% of the rising ocean stuff is complete bull **** . The other 20% is largely out of our control.
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Valkrie9
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NOV 18, 09:25 AM
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rinselberg
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NOV 18, 09:45 AM
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quote | Originally posted by 82-T/A [At Work]: I'm pretty sure it's a joke. Everyone learns in school that glacial ice is extremely dense, with the vast majority of the air bubbles (minus the actual composition of the molecular compound H2O) are squeezed out because of the immense pressure of the ice. There's obviously still some air bubbles in there, but when it melts, it's not like melting ice cubes in a glass. Most people know this, and it's not a serious discussion point. The meme is a joke. |
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That was an unexpected and interesting response. I haven't had time yet to read the remainder of it, but I do want to respond to this much of it.
I don't think that meme that I've singled out for so much (honestly) of my attention was intended as a joke. I think that it got started and then repeated by people who do not understand the distinction that climate scientists are making between land ice and sea ice, in terms of how the melting of the earth's cryosphere (a fancy way of saying "ice") will change sea levels around the world.
I've already said that, at (very) considerable length. And then I posted a short YouTube video about it.
I don't think that any consideration of the density of the ice cube or how much air is trapped inside the ice cube is part of the thinking that created this meme.
Other readers (should there be any) would probably do well to just skip past my essay-like explanation of it and just go with that 67 seconds of YouTube video that I posted.
"It's the economy land ice, Stupid!"[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 11-18-2022).]
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WonderBoy
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NOV 18, 03:04 PM
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I give you, Glacier Girl (wiki) Glacier Girl: The Backstory (Smithsonian) A P-38 Lightning (my fav!) crash lands (with the rest of the squadron), and gets recovered 50years or so later. In 264 feet of solid ice these planes were buried by the harsh mistress known as Mother Nature. I thought mankind halted all ice shelf and glacier reproduction through forced man-made climate abortion?
Now, how's that dem unicorn fart hiding out in Bermuda doing, one of the guys keeping the libtards alive through phoney money laundering schemes, Inselberg? Frauds. Libtards can't survive without being honest. Just like the topic of this thread. Hoax.
Go back to your Googling to try and prove massive man made climate change. Start@0:28
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rinselberg
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NOV 18, 07:20 PM
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Yo WonderBoy, this very short video is for you
"It's the LAND Ice, Stupid!"[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 11-18-2022).]
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Cheeper2keeper
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NOV 18, 09:25 PM
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How do those arctic regions keep getting more and more ice to melt every year? Icebergs and Inselbergs having meltdowns.
[This message has been edited by Cheeper2keeper (edited 11-18-2022).]
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