how long will his sentence be for the first 37 counts nyny rump today (Page 1/7)
ray b MAY 29, 11:05 AM
my bet 6 to 18 months on 15 of 37 counts
williegoat MAY 29, 11:11 AM
Four years, to begin January 20th.

Doug85GT MAY 29, 04:39 PM
Odds of any conviction surviving appeals: 0.0%
randye MAY 29, 10:43 PM
By law, ALL former presidents receive 24/7/365 Secret Service armed protection.

There is NO provision in law that eliminates or stays that protection if a former president is jailed and the current judge has no jurisdiction to change that.

I agree with others here that the likelihood of Trump being jailed is less than zero, but the logistics of SS protection, and a number of other special considerations, is amusing to ponder.

[This message has been edited by randye (edited 05-30-2024).]

cliffw MAY 30, 06:46 AM

quote
Originally posted by Doug85GT:
Odds of any conviction surviving appeals: 0.0%



In this wonky farce, if convicted, he will get an immediate pardon so he can not appeal and showcase this farce.
williegoat MAY 30, 09:06 AM

quote
Originally posted by cliffw:

In this wonky farce, if convicted, he will get an immediate pardon so he can not appeal and showcase this farce.


You know, that is evil, but it may well be the truth.

However, the Constitution (as always) has the answer. His sentence is clearly spelled out in Article 2, section 1, clause 8.
BingB MAY 30, 03:23 PM
I don't know if he even gets convicted on this one. If so there is a good chance it is just a misdemeanor.

Even if he does it will not move the needle with the voters. Extramarital affairs don't matter to voters and everyone understands why he would try to hide it.

The Georgia and Florida cases are much different. Those have to do with actual governmental issues and much worse crimes.

[This message has been edited by BingB (edited 05-30-2024).]

BingB MAY 30, 03:24 PM

quote
Originally posted by Doug85GT:

Odds of any conviction surviving appeals: 0.0%




What would be grounds for the appeal?

ray b MAY 30, 05:25 PM
34 -0
williegoat MAY 30, 05:38 PM