CNBC political poll.. (Page 2/4)
maryjane DEC 11, 12:19 PM

quote
Originally posted by Rickady88GT:


I hear ya.
My opinion is that Trump as a personality is a curse and a blessing for him. He has basically 3 types of people that will vote in his elections: 1 type hate him and will never vote for him, 2nd type is on his side and won't vote for an opponent. My opinion is that theses two types are basically set in stone and I am not sure exactly what the % of either is but I guess maybe 30% for each? The 3rd type is somewhat in the middle and can be swayed to vote for Trump or against Trump based on the hot button topics of the day. For example if in fact Trump lost a large % of women's votes, the question for Trump is why and how can it be rectified? According to a poll I saw the other day, Hispanics are nearly 50% split on supporting Trump and the black vote is also swinging in his favor. What do people think about covid19 and the President's role? That is VERY subjective at this point even though it played a part in the last election. The next election may have a different opinion of both covid and it's handling, it depends on the media to guide the narrative. With more dead from covid on biden's hands than Trump's, the predictable spin from the media is that death counts are not just death counts anymore. The attention is going to be on "attempts to save lives", not just the death toll.




And that's giving President Trump a month 'bye' as the first confirmed US death didn't take place until Feb 29, 2020.

(Unless of course you are going to compare several year's of deaths while Biden is in office to the 1 year covid was here under Tump, which is apples to oranges. )

[This message has been edited by maryjane (edited 12-11-2021).]

Rickady88GT DEC 11, 03:14 PM

quote
Originally posted by maryjane:



And that's giving President Trump a month 'bye' as the first confirmed US death didn't take place until Feb 29, 2020.

(Unless of course you are going to compare several year's of deaths while Biden is in office to the 1 year covid was here under Tump, which is apples to oranges. )




If anything Don, it is the fuzzy logic that boosted the numbers during Trump. But some do not believe that even happened. I would also argue that biden had the advantage of the Trump administration vaccine that most likely curved the death toll. But that isn't factored into the numbers like the fuzzy Government math.
maryjane DEC 11, 05:37 PM
You can argue it all you wish to.
You made a claim, (then added another claim to it) now it's incumbent upon you to back it up with something other than rhetoric and the now infamous "I know a guy at work that knows a girl, that worked at a hospital that heard the janitor say..."

Talk about 'fuzziness'... there it is.


You are certailly welcome to prove those numbers wrong.
Many, if not most, in the medical analytical community believe Covid case and death numbers for 2020, especially in the 1st and 2nd qtr of 2020 were greatly UNDER reported because of the novel nature of the illness, the lack of testing and lack of infrastructure to gather and compile the data early on.

The vaccine being released for public use has nothing to do with your original statement, and in fact you are trying to have it both ways.
On one hand, claiming there were more deaths under the 11 months of the Biden tenure, and then saying the vaccine reduced the numbers under Biden and 'flattened the curve' (your words).

[This message has been edited by maryjane (edited 12-11-2021).]

Rickady88GT DEC 11, 11:32 PM

quote
Originally posted by maryjane:

You can argue it all you wish to.
You made a claim, (then added another claim to it) now it's incumbent upon you to back it up with something other than rhetoric and the now infamous "I know a guy at work that knows a girl, that worked at a hospital that heard the janitor say..."

Talk about 'fuzziness'... there it is.


You are certailly welcome to prove those numbers wrong.
Many, if not most, in the medical analytical community believe Covid case and death numbers for 2020, especially in the 1st and 2nd qtr of 2020 were greatly UNDER reported because of the novel nature of the illness, the lack of testing and lack of infrastructure to gather and compile the data early on.

The vaccine being released for public use has nothing to do with your original statement, and in fact you are trying to have it both ways.
On one hand, claiming there were more deaths under the 11 months of the Biden tenure, and then saying the vaccine reduced the numbers under Biden and 'flattened the curve' (your words).




https://www.forbes.com/site...020/?sh=6b35971c35a5
rinselberg DEC 12, 07:41 AM
It would be easy--forgivable, even--to count the days from January 1, 2021, to January 20, 2021, as "Biden days", because of the calendar year rollover, but in fact, these first 20 days of 2021 are actually "Trump days." Referencing the fact that Biden wasn't officially sworn in as President of the United States until the quadrennially expected day for that, on the 20th day of January.

This, in connection with the Covid numbers.

Of course, I guess that depends on how you look at that period, or even the entire interim period, from January 6, when Biden's electoral college victory was certified, or even the greater interim period, from the day that the major news networks "called" the election in favor of Biden, on November 7, 2020, until January 20. Or until January 6. Depending on how you parse it.

The question being who actually had the "levers" in their hands, in terms of the national Covid response during this interim period? Was it the lame duck president, Donald Trump? Or was it in fact, president-elect Biden? Should the Trump of this period be considered a lame duck president, or a blame duck president?

Maybe there were no "levers" at that time. Or no "hands"..? Perhaps it's an entirely insignificant observation. A "distinction without a difference", as has often been said.

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 12-12-2021).]

maryjane DEC 12, 11:18 AM

quote
Originally posted by Rickady88GT:


https://www.forbes.com/site...020/?sh=6b35971c35a5



Thank you. 94 more in 2021 than in 2020 for the same time period according to John Hopkins.

I concede that point but you can't take that at face value without considering the variables between the 2 time periods.
1. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 were schools, non-essential businesses shut down compared to 2020?
2. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 were local, county and state mandatory masks protocols in place compared to 2020?
3. How many weeks/months etc in 2021 were local,county and state distancing protocols in effect in 2021 compared to 2020?
4. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 was the Delta variant the prominent variant compared to 2020?
5. How many variants were in the wild in 2021 compared to 2020?

Rinselberg, an incoming administration or congress has no powers during the lame duck period. They aren't sworn in yet, so in reality as far as actions, the new officials 'don't exist' yet.

blackrams DEC 12, 11:27 AM

quote
Originally posted by maryjane:


That was James Carville that said that (Clinton just borrowed it) and there was no pandemic in 1992.
Dead people don't need fuel, bread, and other staples.
Yes, as inflation continues, his approval rating will decrease, but not nearly as easily as it will if the death rate goes up.

Covid attitudes are set? Then remember this:
When asked about the tradeoff between containing the coronavirus and rebuilding the economy, 52% of voters believed controlling the pandemic, even if it hurts the economy, was more important.

You think those people are going to change their minds?
The dead and their surviving family members know only one thing. "It's better to be alive".
Find me one person (just one) that would trade the life of a loved one for cheaper bread .




I thought about this for a while and I agree that no one wants to sacrifice a loved one for the sake of the economy but, then I remembered that percentage that keeps getting thrown out about a 98% survival rate of COVID. The economy effects all. I'm still thinking the economy and inflation will play a bigger role than this COVID issue by itself. Yes, COVID is a factor in the economy. So, yes, I do think folks will vote according to their check and savings accounts over the 2% of non-survivors.

Rams
sourmash DEC 12, 12:26 PM
Glad I'm not a normie, because the fail is strong in the posts above.

The left is crazy. The GOP is paid off, cowardly and will just go along with the left. You are where you are because neither party cares what you want.

Covid? Ridiculous.

Trump failed. He will continue to fail. The system is designed to fail you.
Rickady88GT DEC 12, 01:44 PM

quote
Originally posted by maryjane:


Thank you. 94 more in 2021 than in 2020 for the same time period according to John Hopkins.

I concede that point but you can't take that at face value without considering the variables between the 2 time periods.
1. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 were schools, non-essential businesses shut down compared to 2020?
2. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 were local, county and state mandatory masks protocols in place compared to 2020?
3. How many weeks/months etc in 2021 were local,county and state distancing protocols in effect in 2021 compared to 2020?
4. How many months/weeks etc in 2021 was the Delta variant the prominent variant compared to 2020?
5. How many variants were in the wild in 2021 compared to 2020?

Rinselberg, an incoming administration or congress has no powers during the lame duck period. They aren't sworn in yet, so in reality as far as actions, the new officials 'don't exist' yet.



Interesting questions, but in the end, do they change the numbers?
My opinion is that biden has the vast majority of factors in his favor, with regards to the death toll numbers. As far as I know, the original variant of covid19 (Alpha) was the most deadly. That was under Trumps administration. The variants sense have been more contagious but less deadly.
Sorry, but I will have to wait till.I have more time to answer each question.
sourmash DEC 12, 02:14 PM

quote
Originally posted by blackrams:


I thought about this for a while and I agree that no one wants to sacrifice a loved one for the sake of the economy but, then I remembered that percentage that keeps getting thrown out about a 98% survival rate of COVID. The economy effects all. I'm still thinking the economy and inflation will play a bigger role than this COVID issue by itself. Yes, COVID is a factor in the economy. So, yes, I do think folks will vote according to their check and savings accounts over the 2% of non-survivors.

Rams



98%?! The survival rate is 99.85% and higher than that for under 50s (from memory).

There should be a standard test for people to pass before they are allowed to participate in topical discussion.

Nothing should've been shut down.